Read the market before it reads you.
DXY breaks 106.30 with conviction; CPI re-acceleration paired with hawkish tone from Williams (NY Fed) keeps cuts pushed out to Sep. Curve bear-flattening 2s10s narrows to 38bp, supportive of long-dollar bias against JPY, EUR, AUD. Risk: Powell speech Tue 14:00 EDT.
ALMA v6 crossover on 4H + EMA stack alignment + RSI(14)=63. Stop 2,376.20 (1.2R risk), target 2,418.00 (2.5R). Macro tailwind: real yields softening, XAU/JPY divergence intact.
Reuters · 11:42 WIB. NY Fed's John Williams reiterated "no rush" stance; markets price ~22bp of 2026 cuts. Asia opens to slight USD bid against safe-haven JPY.
We don't predict markets. We build memory — so the desk recognises a setup the second it returns, and acts before the herd has finished reading the headline.
Why London open prints 2.4× the wick-rejection rate vs Asian session — and what that means for stop placement.
Entry 167.42 → exit 169.88. Macro thesis: BoJ patience + ECB hawkish hold. Played the carry, exited on RSI divergence.
DXY closes above 200WMA after 14 weeks of consolidation. Implications for emerging-market carry trades through Q2.
Regime filter added; window adapted to volatility. Forward-test PnL +12.4% vs v5 over 90-day overlap.